Serie A Sunday Preview: Roma vs Torino & Milan vs Bologna
With Serie A entering its early defining phase, Sunday offers two intriguing clashes. At the Stadio Olimpico, Roma look to extend their dominance over Torino, while in Milan, the Rossoneri host Bologna in a battle where home strength meets away vulnerability. Both matches carry weight for the top half of the table and could shape early momentum in Italy’s top flight.
Roma vs Torino
Recent History
When it comes to this fixture, Roma have enjoyed clear superiority. In their last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Giallorossi have claimed seven victories, drawn twice, and lost only once. Torino’s inability to consistently disrupt Roma’s rhythm has been a recurring theme, especially in the capital.
At the Stadio Olimpico, Roma’s edge is even sharper, having taken four wins from their last six home fixtures against Torino. The psychological weight of those results gives Gian Gasperini’s side confidence going into Sunday.
Recent Form & Overall Performance
Roma enter the match in excellent shape under Gasperini. Across their last 12 matches in all competitions, they have secured nine wins, with a defensive record that stands out: just 0.42 goals conceded per game. Their attack has been efficient, scoring 1.25 per game, but it is their compact defensive unit that makes them such a tough opponent.
Torino, in contrast, arrive struggling for form. They are winless in 10 of their last 12 matches in all competitions, losing half. Goals have been a problem: just 0.5 scored per game over that span, while conceding 1.33. Their away record compounds their difficulties: only one win in their last 15 away fixtures, with 87% ending without victory. Defensively, Torino concede 1.7 goals per game on their travels.
Main Trends
- Roma: four-match winning streak, averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded.
- Torino: no winning streaks, stuck in a long run of poor results both home and away.
- Head-to-head: Roma dominant, especially at home.
Prediction
Roma’s home dominance and Torino’s away struggles point toward another victory for the Giallorossi. We give Roma a 61% chance of winning, with a likely 3-0 scoreline. Gasperini’s men look set to continue their strong start, while Torino may need to look elsewhere for points.
Milan vs Bologna – Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Recent History
The Meazza has produced competitive clashes between Milan and Bologna. In their last six meetings at this venue, Milan have secured three wins, Bologna one, and two have ended in draws. While Milan usually edge it at home, Bologna have shown they can frustrate, avoiding defeat in 50% of those games.
Recent Form & Overall Performance
Milan’s broader record shows a mix of consistency and recent vulnerability. Over their last 30 matches in all competitions, they have won 15, scoring 1.57 goals per game while conceding 1.1. However, recent results hint at defensive lapses: three defeats in their last six matches.
At the Meazza, Milan still carry weight. They have gone undefeated in 32 of their last 40 home matches, including 80% of their last 20 in Serie A. Three wins from their last six at home underline both their strength and occasional fragility.
Bologna mirror Milan statistically in some areas, with 50% wins across their last 40 games and a goals-per-game average of 1.53. Yet away from home, they struggle: winless in five of their last six away fixtures, and losers in five of their last 10.
Their Serie A form has been particularly inconsistent, winless in eight of their last 10 league matches. While they have remained undefeated in 81% of their last 36 matches in all competitions, the league remains an uphill battle, especially on the road.
Main Trends
- Milan: undefeated in 80% of their last 20 Serie A home matches.
- Bologna: winless in eight of their last 10 league outings, poor away form.
- Head-to-head: Milan with the edge at the Meazza.
Prediction
Milan’s resilience at home should be enough to outlast Bologna, who have struggled to win away. We predict a Milan win with 42% probability, most likely by 2-1. Bologna may pose resistance, but the Rossoneri’s home advantage and deeper squad are expected to decide the contest.
