PREDICTION BURNLEY VS CHELSEA

Current Situation

Burnley could not have asked for a tougher rival in their fight for Premier League survival. After beating two direct relegation opponents, they fell back with defeats to Arsenal and West Ham.

They entered the international break just above the relegation zone. But their schedule has been brutal — this match means Burnley will have faced all eight top teams in the first 12 rounds (1 win, 6 losses).

The only victory came against Sunderland, a fellow promoted side from last season. Burnley have not beaten any “Big Six” club since February 2022, so expectations are low.

Chelsea’s Moment Interrupted

The break came at the worst time for Chelsea. Before it, they secured two straight league wins and two clean sheets. Still, their 1–2 home loss to Sunderland is a warning that they cannot relax.

However, Chelsea have won all four games against the six worst teams this season, showing that they usually handle struggling sides. Their strong away form — five games unbeaten (4 wins, 1 draw) — gives them confidence.

Chelsea also have a remarkable trend: they have won seven Premier League Saturday matches in a row when kicking off at 12:30.

Head-to-Head

Burnley have only lost more home Premier League matches to Liverpool than to Chelsea.
Chelsea have won six straight league matches at Turf Moor, scoring at least three goals in five of them.

Key Stats

• All five Burnley home matches this season produced two goals or fewer.
  
• Burnley conceded three of their four home goals before halftime.
  
• 8 of Chelsea’s 9 away games had at least three goals.
  
• Chelsea scored a league-high eight away goals after halftime.
  

Players to Watch

• Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley): second-most shots in the team (10).
  
• Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea): could hit 100 Premier League appearances. But Chelsea have not won any of the last four club matches where he scored.
  

Injuries: Burnley miss Armando Broja after his Albania injury. Chelsea are without Cole Palmer, and may also miss Enzo Fernández and Pedro Neto.

Prediction

History suggests a clear pattern. With Chelsea’s strong away form and Burnley struggling badly at home,
Prediction: 0:2 Chelsea win BET NOW AND WIN AT ARADA.BET

Please note: this is only an analysis, and we take no responsibility for any bets placed by readers.