Mainz vs Hoffenheim PREDICTION

Current Situation

Matchday 11 opens with a clash between struggling Mainz and in-form Hoffenheim. The home side sits in the relegation zone with only one league win (2 draws, 7 losses). A victory would lift them out of danger at least for one day — but their form is alarming.

Mainz have lost seven league matches this season, five of them by one goal, often conceding late. They have taken just one point from their last six games, and another failure would equal their longest winless run under Bo Henriksen.

Hoffenheim Flying High

Hoffenheim, featuring Czech trio Coufal, Hložek and Hranáč, are the only Bundesliga team with four straight wins. Another victory would create a club record of five in a row.

They already have 19 points, their best start since 2016/17 — the season they finished 4th. Christian Ilzer has transformed last year’s relegation battlers into serious European contenders.

There is still a weakness: Hoffenheim have conceded in 9 of 10 matches, but their 21 goals easily compensate.

Head-to-Head

Mainz have beaten Hoffenheim more times than any other Bundesliga opponent (15 wins).
Even more impressive: they have won their last four home meetings, conceding only once.

Key Stats

• Mainz have not won their last two Friday home matches.
  
• Mainz scored first only three times this season — but avoided defeat twice when they did.
  
• Hoffenheim are winless in their last six Friday night games.
  
• Hoffenheim lost all three league matches where they trailed at halftime.
  

Players to Watch

• Armindo Sieb (Mainz): scored two of Mainz’s ten goals this season.
  
• Wouter Burger (Hoffenheim): four goal contributions in his last four league matches.
  

Mainz will miss top scorer Nadiem Amiri, while Hoffenheim are still without Adam Hložek.

Prediction

With Mainz being the worst home team (1 draw, 4 losses) and Hoffenheim the second-best away team (4 wins, 1 draw), the numbers are clear.

Prediction: Hoffenheim not to lose BET NOW AND WIN AT ARADA.BET
A Hoffenheim win is more likely, but Mainz’s strong home history vs Hoffenheim keeps the door slightly open.

Please note: this is only an analysis, and we take no responsibility for any bets placed by readers.