PREDICTION SPAIN VS TURKEY

Spain in Total Control

Spain enter the final qualifier with five wins from five and zero goals conceded. Their 4–0 win in Georgia proved once again how strong and calm this team is.
To lose first place, Spain would need to be beaten by seven goals, which has never happened in their history.
This match now works almost like a first warm-up for the World Cup next summer. Since March 2023, Spain have lost just one competitive match (26 wins, 3 draws), and they also lifted the Euro 2024 title.

Turkey Fighting but Forced Toward the Play-Off

Turkey have done almost everything right. They won every match except the heavy 0–6 loss at home to Spain — and that defeat is the reason they are basically locked into the play-off.
To qualify automatically, they must beat Spain by seven goals, which is practically impossible.
The more realistic target is to keep their strong 2025 away form alive. Turkey have won three straight competitive away games this year, and extending that run would boost confidence before the March play-offs.

Head-to-Head History

Since 2000, the teams have met four times — Spain won all four, keeping three clean sheets.
Spain have simply been the stronger, more stable side.

Key Stats

• Spain scored in both halves in their last four qualifiers.
  
• Spain have won nine qualifiers in a row without conceding.
  
• Turkey’s qualifying matches averaged five goals per game.
  
• 12 of Turkey’s 15 goals were scored before the 60th minute.
  

Players to Watch

Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal is on fire — 14 goal involvements in his last eight matches (8 goals, 6 assists). Three of his last four goals came after the 60th minute.
Turkey’s Hakan Çalhanoğlu is equally vital — 1 goal and 6 assists in his last three qualifiers, and he created the winning goal in each match.

Spain miss Lamine Yamal, while Turkey may be without Kaan Ayhan, who picked up an injury against Bulgaria.

Prediction

Spain 2–0 Turkey
Spain are too strong, too organised, and too confident. Their defence looks unbeatable, and Turkey rarely trouble top teams away from home.

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