PREDICTION: Poland vs Netherlands

Match Preview

A huge battle awaits in Group G of World Cup 2026 qualifying as second-placed Poland host leaders Netherlands in Warsaw. With both teams eyeing direct qualification, the stakes could not be higher.

Poland’s objective is clear – win and go level on points with the Dutch before the final round, where they face group outsiders Malta. A draw would secure at least a playoff spot, but victory would keep automatic qualification alive.
Having won all five home matches in 2025, Poland will look to make the National Stadium a fortress once again.

The Netherlands, meanwhile, control their own destiny. A win in Poland would confirm their ticket to next summer’s tournament in North America. Even if they slip up, Oranje are guaranteed at least second place. With only one defeat in their last 14 matches (W7, D6), Ronald Koeman’s men travel with confidence, having also won three of their away qualifiers in this campaign.

Head-to-Head

The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last 14 meetings with Poland (W8, D6), winning seven of the past nine encounters.
Their most recent clash ended in a 1-1 draw.

Key Stats and Trends

•  Poland have kept clean sheets in four of their five home matches in 2025.
  
•  Poland have scored after half-time in 12 consecutive games.
  
• The Netherlands have opened the scoring in six straight matches.
  
• Only Norway (29) had scored more goals than Poland (22) in World Cup qualifying before this window.
  

Players to Watch and Team News

All eyes will be on Robert Lewandowski, who comes into the match after scoring a hat-trick for Barcelona. Six of his last eight international goals have come after the break.

For the Netherlands, Memphis Depay is the main attacking threat, with five of his seven goals in this qualifying cycle arriving in the first half.

Poland are without injured trio Łukasz Skorupski, Jan Bednarek, and Krzysztof Piątek, while Liverpool’s Jeremie Frimpong is again missing from the Dutch squad.

Betting Insight

With the Netherlands knowing a draw would almost certainly secure top spot, Koeman’s side may opt for a cautious approach. Given that the previous meeting also ended level, the draw looks like an attractive betting option.

Prediction

Expect a tight and tactical battle between two disciplined teams. Poland’s home strength and Lewandowski’s form give them an edge, but the Netherlands’ unbeaten record and experience under pressure could see them take something from Warsaw.

Prediction: Poland 1-1 Netherlands

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Please note: this is only an analysis, and we take no responsibility for any bets placed by readers.