Derby Drama! Can Roma End Lazio’s Home Streak?
Who’s in Form? Will Lazio Hold or Roma Strike?
The city of Rome is buzzing as Lazio hosts Roma at Stadio Olimpico on 21 September 2025. Both teams need points, but recent form tells different stories.
Lazio have struggled lately. In their last six games, they’ve won just once, drawing two and losing three. On average, they score 1.17 goals per match and concede the same. They are solid sometimes but lack the finishing touch.
Roma, however, are sharper. They’ve won four of their last six and lost two. Their defense is strong, conceding only 0.67 goals per match, and their attack is slightly better at 1.33 goals per game. Confidence is rising for the visitors ahead of this capital clash.
Olimpico History – Lazio’s Fortress?
Historically, Stadio Olimpico favors Lazio. They are unbeaten in their last six home derbies against Roma, winning four and drawing two. Roma haven’t beaten Lazio away in recent derbies, making the Olimpico a tough place to visit for the Giallorossi.
However, history doesn’t guarantee a win. Lazio’s recent home form shows cracks. They’ve drawn seven of their last 12 games across all competitions and failed to win eight of their last ten league matches at home. Consistency is key, and Lazio have been missing that lately.
Numbers Don’t Lie – Who Has the Edge?
Lazio’s home stats are impressive on paper. In the last 40 home games, they won 21, scoring 1.7 goals per match while conceding 0.98. In the league, they’ve stayed undefeated in 27 of their last 30 home Serie A matches – a serious streak.
Roma, meanwhile, are tough away. They’ve lost only five of their last 30 matches overall and won seven of their last 12 road games. Their away defense is rock-solid, conceding less than one goal per match on average.
Trends suggest Lazio are solid but struggle to finish, while Roma are clinical and consistent, even away from home. This sets the stage for a tense, high-stakes derby.
Who’s Likely to Play?
Lazio will miss Samuel Gigot due to an ankle injury. Expected lineup in a 4-3-3:
- G: Ivan Provedel
- D: Adam Marušić, Mario Gila Fuentes, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares
- M: Mattéo Guendouzi, Nicolò Rovella, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
- A: Matteo Cancellieri, Valentín Castellanos, Mattia Zaccagni
Roma will be without Edoardo Bove, Lorenzo Pellegrini, and Leon Bailey. Probable 4-3-3 lineup:
- G: Mile Svilar
- D: Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso
- M: Wesley, Bryan Cristante, Manu Koné, Angeliño
- A: Matías Soulé, Evan Ferguson, Stephan El Shaarawy
Prediction – Can Roma End Lazio’s Streak?
Lazio’s historical edge is clear, but current form favors Roma. The visitors’ strong defense, sharp counterattacks, and clinical finishing give them an advantage. Experts give Roma a 41% chance to win, with a likely 2-1 scoreline. Could Roma finally end Lazio’s home derby streak?
Fans should brace for drama, goals, and a tense fight for dominance in the Eternal City!
